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Penguins vs. MAD Lions
In nature, a battle of lions and penguins would certainly end in a decisive victory for the lions. In League of Legends, well… Penguins at least have a chance. After a bloodshed against KIYF where they scored an astonishing 56 kills in two games ended in a victory, Spain’s most chaotic team surely won’t easily bow to the kings.
MAD Lions showed their versatility in the previous win against Dragons, where they comfortably stomped game 1 and used slow and patient sieging to take the next game. Crownshot is still having somewhat iffy performances and the Lions will have to think of a way to wake him up. Penguins’ “animal style” aggression will certainly make it harder for MAD, but the title holders are still expected to take this. A draw is probably the best outcome Penguins can hope for, as I don’t see them winning more than one game.
Chance of winning analysis: 65% MAD Lions, 25% draw, 10% Penguins
Betting prediction: Small bet on Penguins to win, paying +1800 at BetOnline.
Dragons E.C. vs. Movistar Riders
A sad start to the campaign for Dragons is looking to turn into a sad mid-split, as they still haven’t won a single game. They don’t have a high chance of doing it against Movistar Riders, either, as the full-foreign heavyweights are looking as a top-tier contender for the #1 spot.
Dragons have slowly been getting used to losing, and their last game against MAD Lions shows it, as they had many opportunities to get a lead and simply failed to make use of them. Their starting ADC still isn’t on the roster, even though he was expected to play yesterday, and the top/jungle duo is looking very disconnected. Movistar, on the other hand, are playing decently, even if not having a lot of different strategies. Getting an early lead and snowballing the game is still their main go-to, and they should be able to succeed in this against a struggling bunch that is Dragons. A 2-0 for Movistar Riders is the most likely outcome.
Chance of winning analysis: 80% Movistar Riders, 10% draw, 10% Dragons
Betting prediction: Movistar Riders to win, paying -303.03 at BetOnline.
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KIYF eSports Club vs. Penguins
KIYF’s new roster has been a pleasant surprise at the start of the season, being one of the three teams to share the top spot. Penguins, on the other side, still face the same problems from Spring, and it will be crucial for them to solve these issues before their competition gets too far ahead.
It looks like KIYF were particularly careful when picking their players for the new season, as all of them have been playing well right off the bat. Their macro is on point, and they can comfortably capitalise on single picks as they showed against MAD Lions. Their teamfighting is also good, with the young Czech bot lane showing very promising performances in this aspect. Penguins are as chaotic as they always were, but seem to focus on their ADC Javaaa now as their main carry. Still, they don’t look very convincing, and KIYF probably have a better chance of taking the 2-0.
Chance of winning analysis: 65% KIYF, 25% draw, 10% Penguins
Betting prediction: KIYF eSports Club to win, paying -125 at BetOnline.
Dragons E.C. vs. MAD Lions E.C.
Both teams have disappointed in this early stage compared to the expectations. While MAD are yet to pick up a series win after drawing twice, Dragons are glued to the bottom of the table with a worrying 0-4 record and an even less reassuring playstyle.
MAD Lions seem to have taken a break after the EU Masters, as they look less coherent and make more individual mistakes than we’re used to seeing from them. Crownshot wasn’t very impactful in the first two weeks, leaving the carry duty to his mid-jungle duo, but his opponent Nixerino hasn’t even been on the team for the past matches and will be playing his first games this season. Even if their starting ADC shows up big time, Dragons will still have to fix a lot of their individual and teamplay issues: everyone is still waiting for a good performance from Sacre, and the team’s problems with mid game teamfighting seem catastrophic when they’re facing quality opponents. MAD Lions are a big favourite here, and unless Dragons do something extraordinary, they should be collecting their first 2-0. (85% MAD, 10% draw, 5% Dragons)
Chance of winning analysis: 85% MAD, 10% draw, 5% Dragons
Betting prediction: MAD Lions E.C. Club to win, paying -277.78 at BetOnline.
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